Methodology
How and why this works
🎯 What is value?
Value is when the real probability of an outcome is higher than what the odds imply. If a team wins 60% of the time but odds imply 40% — that's value. These are the only matches I publish.
🧠 What is author's intuition?
Intuition is not magic. It's pattern-matching built from thousands of matches watched, observations of squad rotation, coach psychology, team form in specific conditions.
📊 How is accuracy calculated?
Only finished matches with a clear prediction (1/2/X/O/U). Cancelled and voided bets excluded. All data is public on the Stats page.
⚠️ Important
This is not financial advice. I share my analysis and intuition — you make your own decisions. Betting involves risk of financial loss.
FAQ
How are matches selected?
Only matches with clear value — when the market underestimates the real probability.
Why are some predictions locked?
Premium predictions unlock at the 85th minute or after the final whistle — free for everyone.
How often are predictions published?
Only when there is a real reason. Quality over quantity.
Can predictions be trusted?
Check the stats — they are public. Make decisions based on data, not faith.